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The Blank Swan: The End of Probability by Elie Ayache

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability Elie Ayache ebook
Format: pdf
ISBN: 9780470725221
Publisher: Wiley
Page: 496

Apr 24, 2014 - As an aside, it is noteworthy that long term yields have weakened considerably even while five year yields have remained roughly unchanged and yields on the short end of the curve have actually risen slightly since the beginning of the year. Once upon a time I knew a "Black Swan". Bottom line: not a report of the intellectual Thu, 06/16/2011 - 00:07 | Link to Comment Yen Cross · Yen Cross's picture. Chairman regards monetary hyper-inflation as being zero cost; Ron Paul pushes for a USFed audit, an end run to pay down USGovt debt; USFed owns more USTBonds than any other creditor; Competing Currency War has Euro weakness mean USDollar as all circle the toilet. Jun 16, 2011 - Additionally, SocGen also provides a risk map with a black/white swan distribution curve, which identifies the biggest growth outlook downside and upside risks. What are the likely time-scales for such events? Tsar Ivan the terrible and Tsar Peter had protected Russia against the inroads of European nobility and the vatican for centuries but it all came to an end with a murderous bloody communist slavery. Another scenario which could be characterized under black swan would be a granite wall weighing thousands of tons, called Cumbre Viejo in the canary islands. May 17, 2013 - The reign of the Tsars would end in communist slavery. Jan 6, 2014 - This sequence could come to an end in a “black swan” event; the laws of physics could suddenly change, or the Earth could collide with a wandering planet big enough to destroy it. Thu, 06/16/2011 - 04:50 | Link to Comment falak pema · falak pema's picture. Sure the probability of it happening is comparable to winning the lottery every month for a year straight after the shark that was attacking you got struck and killed by lightening but still, it could happen. Jun 28, 2011 - Technically speaking, I would not consider too many of these below true black swans only because probabilities are reasonably attachable to most. Dec 12, 2013 - Black Swan (Calvin Teo) COGwriter Scoop, a New Zealand based organization, had the following: Dec 12, 2013 One of the more interesting recent. And that is a sufficiently small probability for us to ignore. Those that heed the admonitions of Jesus and the Apostle Paul and properly understand end-time prophecy will not be surprised by the 'black swan' events that will affect the USA and Anglo-Saxon nations or the rest of the world. The likely time-scales cannot be short compared to the past record, And that means that the likelihood of the world ending before tomorrow dawns is less than one-in-a-trillion.